Through the Grenada National Ecosystem Assessment (NEA) initiative, the Environment Division, Government of Grenada and the Caribbean Natural Resources Institute (CANARI) hosted a series of training webinars on Foresight Scenarios.  The training was primarily geared towards the authors, contributors, policy makers and stakeholders involved in the Grenada NEA, but other interested persons also attended.

This series of training webinars were facilitated by Dr. Adrian Cashman.

Please scroll down for details of each session.

Training recordings and presentations for all sessions are provided at the end of the page.

If you should require any further information, please contact Aditi Thanoo at [email protected]  / Anastacia Lee Quay at [email protected].

Session 1

Date: Monday 16th August 2021, 9 – 11 am AST

Title: Introduction to Foresight Scenarios

Description:

The mention of words such as ‘foresight’ or ‘scenario’ can conjure up thoughts of “is this about clairvoyance?” or questions about imagining something abstract.  What has this got to do with ecosystems assessment?  It all sounds science fiction rather than science.  The aim of the introductory session was to try to demystify what foresight scenarios are about and their usefulness.  To do this we first looked at where this has come from and what the approach has been used for.  We tried to tease out the differences between projections/forecasts and scenarios.  And we considered what scenarios can do, and why and when you might want to use the approach.  The session ended with a look at an example.

Topics covered:

  • A short history of the evolution of scenarios
  • Ways to look at the future
  • Why scenarios?

Session 2

Date: Friday 20th August 2021, 9 – 11 am AST

Title: An Overview of Foresight Scenarios

Description:

Hopefully Session 1 convinced participants that there is merit in foresight scenarios, so in Session 2, we looked a little deeper into what is involved.  We started with an exploration of the futures different facets and how this relates to scenarios.  Then we gave some consideration as to the relationship between the different scenario approaches and their relationship to policy.  Scenarios of the future are a response to complex interactions between driving forces so we thought about what these driving forces might be.  Having identified the relevant driving forces, we looked at how we can use them to derive our scenarios.  This was the last part of the session, where we looked at some commonly used approaches to scenario building.

Topics covered:

  • Types of foresight scenarios
  • Drivers and trends
  • Application to policy
  • Group exercise

Session 3

Date: Tuesday 24th August 2021, 9 -11 am AST

Title: An Overview of Foresight Scenarios, Part 2

Topics covered:

  • Types of foresight scenarios
  • Drivers and trends
  • Application to policy
  • Group exercise

Session 4

Date: Thursday 26th August 2021, 1 – 3 pm AST

Title: Foresight Scenario Methods and Approaches

Topics covered:

  • Preparation
  • Methods and tools
  • Modelling
  • Group exercise

Session 5

Date: Thursday 2nd September 2021, 9 -11am AST

Title: Examples from Literature

Topics covered:

  • Review
  • Group based critique

Recordings and Presentations for Foresight Scenarios Training Sessions:

  • Recording of Training Session 1 here.    Presentation of Session 1 available here.
  • Recording of Training Session 2 here.    Presentation of  Session 2 available here.
  • Recording of Training Session 3 here.    Presentation of  Session 3 available here.
  • Recording of Training Session 4 here.    Presentation of  Session 4 available here.
  • Recording of Training Session 5 here.    Presentation of  Session 5 available here.